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| CONGRATULATIONS! Based on the knowledge you've accumulated from the previous chapters, you now possess the broad outlines necessary to achieve financial success. But since implementing your strategy is just as critical as designing it, there are still lots of ways you can screw up. The devil, unfortunately, is in the details! Luckily for us, there are resources available today that our parents couldn't have even imagined years ago. Obstacles may appear in our way, but as long as we know what to expect, they are easily avoided. |
| In many ways, 20 years after May Day, the process of change is still just beginning. As more and more investors vote with their feet, they are further transforming the industry in their favor. |
But before we turn to the nuts and
bolts of implementation, let's shift gears a bit. We
first need to examine the landscape of the financial
services industry -- an industry undergoing radical
change. In the past, we have talked about many of the
advances in financial economics over the last 40 years.
But there is one cataclysmic event I've yet to elucidate
that is behind the sweeping transformation now taking
place. Viva La Revolution!YOU'RE FORGIVEN IF you missed the revolution that began on May Day 1975. No, it's not an event celebrated each year with a giant march through Red Square. No epic poems chronicle the events of this glorious revolution, and it lacks any anthems or ballads. There is no holiday, are no statues, and no fireworks. The revolution's heroes never received a parade, and the whole thing passed almost unnoticed by an indifferent public. Nevertheless, May Day 1975 should be celebrated vigorously by all investors. The revolution set us free, and today we have options we couldn't have imagined previously. Clearly, a short history lesson is in order. The Dutch Make a PurchaseA FEW HUNDRED YEARS AGO, the Dutch made a small real estate deal to acquire a little island in the Northeast. The price was certainly reasonable, and the island was nicely located at the mouth of a great navigable river which opened up to a fine harbor and sound. Given the nifty location, it wasn't long before the Dutch began trading with their new neighbors on the southern tip of the island. At first, trading was primarily confined to commodities, which the surrounding area had in abundance. These commodities were then shipped home through the harbor facilities. Over time, trading expanded to finance a lively commerce. New companies were formed, and investors were invited to purchase "speculations" in fledgling ventures. These "speculations" were certificates of ownership or debt and would much later be called stocks and bonds. The certificates were placed on open-air tables, and investors wandered the area examining the certificates, gossiping, bargaining, and eventually buying or selling. Enter the PigsWITH ALL THIS TRADING, a problem soon developed. Pigs from the adjacent common area often ran wild through the trading area, splattered the traders, knocked over the tables, and trampled the speculations. After short consultations, a wall was built to keep the pigs out. Later, the street where the trading took place was named after the wall. In time, the area grew to become the financial capital of the world. (Some might speculate that the wall was never effective, or at least that the pigs now have two legs!) Early on, the securities traders formed an association to govern their business transactions. It was decided that the association should have a monopoly on trading, and that no traders should undercut the prices of their competitors. Traders who violated the agreement were banished from the association, which effectively ended their careers. This arrangement greatly enriched the traders, but certainly couldn't have been considered unusual given the business climate at the time. At least there was very little recorded dissent or comment from economists on the negative implications for market efficiency. Later, the trade association was given government sanction, and commission price fixing became the law of the land. May DayBUSINESS CONTINUED in this manner until May 1, 1975. "May Day," as it is called in the industry, marks the point at which the SEC began allowing negotiated commissions. The event was greeted with howls, gnashing of teeth, and predictions of doom by the brokerage houses. Somehow these symbols of capitalism believed they couldn't survive competition! May Day was the beginning of the end of Wall Street's guaranteed good deal. As you can guess, brokerages didn't exactly fall over themselves advertising discounts to investors. But the genie was out of the bottle. Little by little, Wall Street found itself being dragged into the real world of competition. Initially, the benefits of May Day were unevenly distributed. Large institutions could immediately trade blocks of stock for a tiny percentage of previous costs. But small investors' trading costs actually increased at the "full service houses." Soon, however, discount brokers appeared offering sharply lower trading costs to retail investors. At first, discount brokerages provided few services, but little by little the quality and quantity of their services increased. The success of early entrants such as Charles Schwab attracted additional players. Competition did what it usually does: further reduced prices, increased quality of service, and multiplied consumer choices. Stay tuned. The story is far from over, and things will keep getting better and better for the small investor. A Monumental ChangeMEANWHILE, OTHER INSTITUTIONS are also keeping the heat on. Banks, insurance companies, and mutual funds are cutting into Wall Street's traditional turf. In particular, no-load mutual funds have provided attractive alternatives to traditional brokerage houses and broker-dealer operations. Independent investors have embraced them in amounts that are hard to imagine. But "no-load" means "no help," and many investors lack the time, inclination, or confidence to choose from a variety of offerings. Last year, over 1,500 new mutual funds were launched in the United States alone. Naturally, the selection process can appear rather daunting. This monumental change wasn't just confined to the brokerage industry. Insurers and bankers have undergone a parallel experience. In the good old days, long before voice mail, and even before the break up of the phone companies, stock brokers sold stock, insurance agents sold insurance, and bankers took deposits and made loans. Today everybody does everything, and it is difficult to tell who the players are even with a program. Until just a few years ago, bank and saving-and-loan interest rates on deposits were capped by federal law, while bankers were free to charge whatever they could get away with for loans. Individuals had few alternatives for savings. Most could not afford to purchase individual T-Bills. Savings bonds required long-term commitments.
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Frank Armstrong, CFP, is the author of Investment Strategies for the 21st Century, published here, President of Investor Solutions, Inc., a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, and Chief Investment Strategist of DirectAdvice.com.
copyright (c) 1995-97, Frank Armstrong.
The right to download and store or output the materials found in Investment Strategies for the 21st Century is granted for viewing use only, and materials may not be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of Frank Armstrong. Any reproduction or editing by any means mechanical or electronic in whole or in part without the express written permission of Frank Armstrong is strictly prohibited.
Disclaimer
Investing in equities involves a serious principal risk, and no assurance can be given that the techniques described here will be successful. Returns vary and you may have a gain or loss when you sell your shares. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index returns shown are historical and include the change in share price, reinvestment of dividends, and capital gains. Indexes are unmanaged and do not reflect the impact of transaction costs. Transaction costs would have reduced the total returns.
International investments, especially those in emerging markets, entail greater risks (as well as greater potential rewards) than U.S. investing. These risks include political and economic uncertainties of foreign countries, as well as the risk of currency fluctuations. These risks are magnified in countries with emerging markets, since these countries may have relatively unstable governments and less-established markets and economies.
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